Brazos County
ChatGPT predicted the first round of the NFL Draft and here's what it said
Curt Cignetti was so focused this offseason, he turned down all external requests: 'I'm 95% football' Former MLB owner claims'despicable' San Francisco Giants are the reason the A's left Oakland Longtime NASCAR crew chief tells wild story about one of the sport's biggest characters WNBA finally embraces Caitlin Clark's stardom with unprecedented national TV schedule Why are the Mets so bad? Flyers mascot Gritty pens letter to fans ahead of first playoff game... eight years after he debuted NFL Draft prospect Rueben Bain Jr. mum about 2024 crash when publicly asked about it for first time Troy Aikman is selling'fire suites,' which are exactly what they sound like Fernando Mendoza's first pitch at Marlins game draws harsh reviews Steve Hilton praised for'offering solutions' in CA gubernatorial debate Middle East tensions escalate over US blockade, Iran's actions Michael Easter and Gary Brecka discuss the'choice' to live to be 100 Sen Ted Cruz calls new deadline with Iran'really consequential' RFK Jr confronted over'raccoon parts' on Capitol Hill Our democracy is not'in crisis,' Sen John Fetterman says The DOJ is'on the offense' here, Andrew Kolvet says OutKick ChatGPT predicted the first round of the NFL Draft and here's what it said Ultimate human vs. machine showdown as OutKick's Dan Z. takes on ChatGPT in a mock draft battle Where Is The Value In This NFL Draft? Jonathan Hutton & Chad Withrow ask Armando Salguero what position has the most value in this year's NFL draft I'm not sure why I do these things to myself, but I decided to go head-to-head with ChatGPT in a mock draft competition. I recently released my final mock draft, and then I asked ChatGPT to predict the entire first round. Below, you will see where we are the same and where we are different.
- Asia > Middle East > Iran (0.56)
- North America > United States > California > San Francisco County > San Francisco (0.25)
- North America > United States > New York (0.15)
- (19 more...)
- Leisure & Entertainment > Sports > Football (1.00)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (1.00)
- North America > United States > Minnesota (0.05)
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.14)
- Asia > China > Guangdong Province > Zhuhai (0.04)
- Europe > Netherlands > North Holland > Amsterdam (0.04)
- (2 more...)
Quantifying and Attributing Submodel Uncertainty in Stochastic Simulation Models and Digital Twins
Ghasemloo, Mohammadmahdi, Eckman, David J., Li, Yaxian
Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these subprocesses may be inherently unknown or too computationally intensive to directly embed in the simulation model. Replacing these elements with estimated or learned approximations introduces a form of epistemic uncertainty that we refer to as submodel uncertainty. This paper investigates how submodel uncertainty affects the estimation of system performance metrics. We develop a framework for quantifying submodel uncertainty in stochastic simulation models and extend the framework to digital-twin settings, where simulation experiments are repeatedly conducted with the model initialized from observed system states. Building on approaches from input uncertainty analysis, we leverage bootstrapping and Bayesian model averaging to construct quantile-based confidence or credible intervals for key performance indicators. We propose a tree-based method that decomposes total output variability and attributes uncertainty to individual submodels in the form of importance scores. The proposed framework is model-agnostic and accommodates both parametric and nonparametric submodels under frequentist and Bayesian modeling paradigms. A synthetic numerical experiment and a more realistic digital-twin simulation of a contact center illustrate the importance of understanding how and how much individual submodels contribute to overall uncertainty.
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.14)
- North America > Canada > Ontario > Toronto (0.14)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Middlesex County > Cambridge (0.04)
- (2 more...)
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.04)
- Asia > China > Guangxi Province > Nanning (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.14)
- North America > United States > Virginia (0.04)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Suffolk County > Boston (0.04)
- (4 more...)
- Health & Medicine > Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology (0.67)
- Energy (0.67)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.46)
Getting More Juice Out of the SFT Data: Reward Learning from Human Demonstration Improves SFT for LLM Alignment
Such reward model serves as a proxy to human preference, and it is critical to guide the RL step towards improving the model quality. In this work, we argue that the SFT stage significantly benefits from learning a reward model as well. Instead of using the human demonstration data directly via supervised learning, we propose to leverage an Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) technique to simultaneously build an reward model and a policy model. This approach leads to new SFT algorithms that are not only efficient to implement, but are robust to the presence of low-quality supervised learning data. Moreover, we discover a connection between the proposed IRL based approach, and a recent line of works called Self-Play Fine-tune (SPIN, Chen et al. [2024]).
- North America > United States > Minnesota > Hennepin County > Minneapolis (0.28)
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.14)
- Asia > China > Hong Kong (0.04)
- North America > United States > Illinois > Cook County > Chicago (0.04)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language > Large Language Model (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Reinforcement Learning (0.87)
- Europe > Switzerland > Zürich > Zürich (0.14)
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.04)
- Europe > Germany (0.04)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Performance Analysis > Accuracy (0.93)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (0.93)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language > Large Language Model (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language > Chatbot (0.93)
- (2 more...)
- Media > Film (1.00)
- Leisure & Entertainment (1.00)